PACE Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour, 14 October to 11 November 2026

In the 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026, electricity demand in PACE averaged 5,461 MW and typically peaked at 12:00 local time (6,175 MW) and bottomed out at 00:00 (4,965 MW). With solar and wind taken off, the remaining load fell to 2,434 MW at 14:00 and then rose 1,102 MW between 15:00 to 18:00. Hours are local clock time (America/Denver).

Key Facts

  • Over 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026, average demand in PACE was 5,461 MW. The hour of the day with the highest average demand was 12:00 local time (6,175 MW) and the lowest was 00:00 (4,965 MW).
  • The largest three hour rise in average demand was 93 MW, between 18:00 to 21:00 local time.
  • The single highest hour of demand in the 30 day window was 6,965 MW, in the hour starting 14 Oct 2026, 12:00 MDT (UTC-06:00).
  • Solar output averaged 2,024 MW at its 12:00 peak, 37% of average demand.
  • Demand minus solar and wind (net load) averaged 3,342 MW, fell to 2,434 MW at 14:00 and rose 1,102 MW over the three hours from 15:00 to 18:00, 20% of average demand.

Average Day by Local Hour

29 days to 2026-11-11, America/Denver time
PACE average demand and net generation by local hour Average electricity demand in PACE by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026. It was lowest at 00:00 (4,965 MW) and highest at 12:00 (6,175 MW). Net generation is the power produced inside the grid, so it differs from demand by net imports. 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 00:0003:0006:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:00
Average electricity demand in PACE by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026. It was lowest at 00:00 (4,965 MW) and highest at 12:00 (6,175 MW). Net generation is the power produced inside the grid, so it differs from demand by net imports.
Mean MW by local hour, 2026-10-14 to 2026-11-11
PACE average demand and net generation by local hour
Local hour (America/Denver)DemandNet generation
00:004,965 MW6,311 MW
01:005,040 MW6,308 MW
02:004,988 MW6,337 MW
03:005,003 MW6,347 MW
04:005,026 MW6,399 MW
05:005,062 MW6,410 MW
06:005,196 MW6,483 MW
07:005,302 MW6,591 MW
08:005,574 MW6,960 MW
09:005,926 MW7,343 MW
10:006,114 MW7,545 MW
11:006,133 MW7,616 MW
12:006,175 MW7,619 MW
13:006,161 MW7,614 MW
14:006,110 MW7,542 MW
15:006,006 MW7,356 MW
16:005,796 MW6,907 MW
17:005,491 MW6,669 MW
18:005,164 MW6,550 MW
19:005,180 MW6,532 MW
20:005,234 MW6,490 MW
21:005,257 MW6,449 MW
22:005,107 MW6,399 MW
23:005,059 MW6,368 MW
PACE duck curve: demand and net load by local hour Average demand and net load (demand minus solar and wind) in PACE by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026. Net load was lowest at 14:00 (2,434 MW) and then rose 1,102 MW between 15:00 to 18:00. 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 00:0003:0006:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:00
Average demand and net load (demand minus solar and wind) in PACE by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026. Net load was lowest at 14:00 (2,434 MW) and then rose 1,102 MW between 15:00 to 18:00.
Mean MW by local hour, 2026-10-14 to 2026-11-11
PACE duck curve: demand and net load by local hour
Local hour (America/Denver)DemandNet load (demand minus solar and wind)
00:004,965 MW3,720 MW
01:005,040 MW3,788 MW
02:004,988 MW3,671 MW
03:005,003 MW3,655 MW
04:005,026 MW3,607 MW
05:005,062 MW3,662 MW
06:005,196 MW3,788 MW
07:005,302 MW3,721 MW
08:005,574 MW3,321 MW
09:005,926 MW2,895 MW
10:006,114 MW2,712 MW
11:006,133 MW2,581 MW
12:006,175 MW2,555 MW
13:006,161 MW2,492 MW
14:006,110 MW2,434 MW
15:006,006 MW2,503 MW
16:005,796 MW2,950 MW
17:005,491 MW3,393 MW
18:005,164 MW3,605 MW
19:005,180 MW3,735 MW
20:005,234 MW3,848 MW
21:005,257 MW3,932 MW
22:005,107 MW3,822 MW
23:005,059 MW3,815 MW
PACE average solar and wind output by local hour Average solar and wind generation in PACE by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026. Solar peaked at 12:00 at 2,024 MW. 0 625 1,250 1,875 2,500 00:0003:0006:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:00
Average solar and wind generation in PACE by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026. Solar peaked at 12:00 at 2,024 MW.
Mean MW by local hour, 2026-10-14 to 2026-11-11
PACE average solar and wind output by local hour
Local hour (America/Denver)SolarWind
00:000 MW1,245 MW
01:000 MW1,252 MW
02:000 MW1,316 MW
03:000 MW1,348 MW
04:000 MW1,419 MW
05:000 MW1,400 MW
06:000 MW1,407 MW
07:0097 MW1,484 MW
08:00819 MW1,434 MW
09:001,667 MW1,363 MW
10:001,980 MW1,422 MW
11:002,013 MW1,538 MW
12:002,024 MW1,596 MW
13:002,014 MW1,655 MW
14:001,965 MW1,710 MW
15:001,799 MW1,704 MW
16:001,205 MW1,641 MW
17:00533 MW1,564 MW
18:0053 MW1,506 MW
19:000 MW1,445 MW
20:000 MW1,386 MW
21:000 MW1,325 MW
22:000 MW1,285 MW
23:000 MW1,244 MW
Average PACE demand, net generation, solar, wind and net load by local hour
Local hourDemandNet generationSolarWindNet load
00:00 4,965 MW 6,311 MW 0 MW 1,245 MW 3,720 MW
01:00 5,040 MW 6,308 MW 0 MW 1,252 MW 3,788 MW
02:00 4,988 MW 6,337 MW 0 MW 1,316 MW 3,671 MW
03:00 5,003 MW 6,347 MW 0 MW 1,348 MW 3,655 MW
04:00 5,026 MW 6,399 MW 0 MW 1,419 MW 3,607 MW
05:00 5,062 MW 6,410 MW 0 MW 1,400 MW 3,662 MW
06:00 5,196 MW 6,483 MW 0 MW 1,407 MW 3,788 MW
07:00 5,302 MW 6,591 MW 97 MW 1,484 MW 3,721 MW
08:00 5,574 MW 6,960 MW 819 MW 1,434 MW 3,321 MW
09:00 5,926 MW 7,343 MW 1,667 MW 1,363 MW 2,895 MW
10:00 6,114 MW 7,545 MW 1,980 MW 1,422 MW 2,712 MW
11:00 6,133 MW 7,616 MW 2,013 MW 1,538 MW 2,581 MW
12:00 6,175 MW 7,619 MW 2,024 MW 1,596 MW 2,555 MW
13:00 6,161 MW 7,614 MW 2,014 MW 1,655 MW 2,492 MW
14:00 6,110 MW 7,542 MW 1,965 MW 1,710 MW 2,434 MW
15:00 6,006 MW 7,356 MW 1,799 MW 1,704 MW 2,503 MW
16:00 5,796 MW 6,907 MW 1,205 MW 1,641 MW 2,950 MW
17:00 5,491 MW 6,669 MW 533 MW 1,564 MW 3,393 MW
18:00 5,164 MW 6,550 MW 53 MW 1,506 MW 3,605 MW
19:00 5,180 MW 6,532 MW 0 MW 1,445 MW 3,735 MW
20:00 5,234 MW 6,490 MW 0 MW 1,386 MW 3,848 MW
21:00 5,257 MW 6,449 MW 0 MW 1,325 MW 3,932 MW
22:00 5,107 MW 6,399 MW 0 MW 1,285 MW 3,822 MW
23:00 5,059 MW 6,368 MW 0 MW 1,244 MW 3,815 MW

Each value is the mean over 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026, weekdays and weekends together, for the hour starting at that local clock time. Net load is demand minus solar and wind generation. The single highest hour of demand in the whole 30 day window was 6,965 MW; it is a published reading, not an average, and is not part of the profile above.

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). (US Government work, public domain) Data as of 2026-11-11. Profiles are computed by World Power Monitor from the operator's hourly series.

Assumptions

  • Hours are local clock time in America/Denver. A local day is used only if it is whole inside the 30 day window and at least 22 of its hours are complete; the profile uses the 29 most recent such days. Daylight saving follows the local clock: on a clock change day the missing hour is absent and the repeated hour is averaged over both readings.
  • The average mixes weekdays and weekends and covers only 29 days, so it describes recent conditions, not a seasonal norm.
  • The evening ramp is the largest rise over three hours in the average profile, starting between 14:00 and 20:00 local time.
Cite this page
APA 7

World Power Monitor. (2026). PACE Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour. https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/pace/

Plain text

World Power Monitor. PACE Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour. Data as of 2026-11-11. Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration. https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/pace/

BibTeX
@misc{wpm_load_shapes_pace_2026,
  title = {{PACE Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour}},
  author = {{World Power Monitor}},
  year = {2026},
  note = {Data as of 2026-11-11. Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration.},
  url = {https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/pace/}
}

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