TEPC Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour, 14 October to 11 November 2026

In the 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026, electricity demand in TEPC averaged 1,430 MW and typically peaked at 17:00 local time (1,719 MW) and bottomed out at 10:00 (1,259 MW). With solar and wind taken off, the remaining load fell to 714 MW at 10:00 and then rose 654 MW between 14:00 to 17:00. Hours are local clock time (America/Phoenix).

Key Facts

  • Over 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026, average demand in TEPC was 1,430 MW. The hour of the day with the highest average demand was 17:00 local time (1,719 MW) and the lowest was 10:00 (1,259 MW).
  • The largest three hour rise in average demand was 249 MW, between 14:00 to 17:00 local time.
  • The single highest hour of demand in the 30 day window was 2,095 MW, in the hour starting 21 Oct 2026, 16:00 MST (UTC-07:00).
  • Solar output averaged 451 MW at its 10:00 peak, 32% of average demand.
  • Demand minus solar and wind (net load) averaged 1,172 MW, fell to 714 MW at 10:00 and rose 654 MW over the three hours from 14:00 to 17:00, 46% of average demand.

Average Day by Local Hour

29 days to 2026-11-11, America/Phoenix time
TEPC average demand and net generation by local hour Average electricity demand in TEPC by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026. It was lowest at 10:00 (1,259 MW) and highest at 17:00 (1,719 MW). Net generation is the power produced inside the grid, so it differs from demand by net imports. 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 00:0003:0006:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:00
Average electricity demand in TEPC by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026. It was lowest at 10:00 (1,259 MW) and highest at 17:00 (1,719 MW). Net generation is the power produced inside the grid, so it differs from demand by net imports.
Mean MW by local hour, 2026-10-14 to 2026-11-11
TEPC average demand and net generation by local hour
Local hour (America/Phoenix)DemandNet generation
00:001,344 MW1,338 MW
01:001,306 MW1,324 MW
02:001,287 MW1,322 MW
03:001,279 MW1,315 MW
04:001,294 MW1,314 MW
05:001,342 MW1,352 MW
06:001,399 MW1,385 MW
07:001,393 MW1,375 MW
08:001,334 MW1,215 MW
09:001,284 MW1,065 MW
10:001,259 MW1,020 MW
11:001,277 MW1,083 MW
12:001,322 MW1,196 MW
13:001,385 MW1,282 MW
14:001,470 MW1,297 MW
15:001,575 MW1,320 MW
16:001,666 MW1,502 MW
17:001,719 MW1,668 MW
18:001,700 MW1,699 MW
19:001,652 MW1,665 MW
20:001,608 MW1,615 MW
21:001,553 MW1,564 MW
22:001,473 MW1,493 MW
23:001,395 MW1,398 MW
TEPC duck curve: demand and net load by local hour Average demand and net load (demand minus solar and wind) in TEPC by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026. Net load was lowest at 10:00 (714 MW) and then rose 654 MW between 14:00 to 17:00. 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 00:0003:0006:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:00
Average demand and net load (demand minus solar and wind) in TEPC by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026. Net load was lowest at 10:00 (714 MW) and then rose 654 MW between 14:00 to 17:00.
Mean MW by local hour, 2026-10-14 to 2026-11-11
TEPC duck curve: demand and net load by local hour
Local hour (America/Phoenix)DemandNet load (demand minus solar and wind)
00:001,344 MW1,250 MW
01:001,306 MW1,210 MW
02:001,287 MW1,183 MW
03:001,279 MW1,178 MW
04:001,294 MW1,196 MW
05:001,342 MW1,242 MW
06:001,399 MW1,300 MW
07:001,393 MW1,140 MW
08:001,334 MW851 MW
09:001,284 MW752 MW
10:001,259 MW714 MW
11:001,277 MW736 MW
12:001,322 MW783 MW
13:001,385 MW843 MW
14:001,470 MW941 MW
15:001,575 MW1,083 MW
16:001,666 MW1,336 MW
17:001,719 MW1,595 MW
18:001,700 MW1,596 MW
19:001,652 MW1,554 MW
20:001,608 MW1,509 MW
21:001,553 MW1,451 MW
22:001,473 MW1,377 MW
23:001,395 MW1,304 MW
TEPC average solar and wind output by local hour Average solar and wind generation in TEPC by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026. Solar peaked at 10:00 at 451 MW. 0 125 250 375 500 00:0003:0006:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:00
Average solar and wind generation in TEPC by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026. Solar peaked at 10:00 at 451 MW.
Mean MW by local hour, 2026-10-14 to 2026-11-11
TEPC average solar and wind output by local hour
Local hour (America/Phoenix)SolarWind
00:000 MW94 MW
01:000 MW96 MW
02:000 MW104 MW
03:000 MW101 MW
04:000 MW98 MW
05:000 MW99 MW
06:003 MW96 MW
07:00158 MW95 MW
08:00393 MW90 MW
09:00440 MW92 MW
10:00451 MW94 MW
11:00445 MW96 MW
12:00442 MW97 MW
13:00446 MW96 MW
14:00435 MW94 MW
15:00393 MW99 MW
16:00228 MW102 MW
17:0018 MW106 MW
18:000 MW104 MW
19:000 MW98 MW
20:000 MW99 MW
21:000 MW102 MW
22:000 MW96 MW
23:000 MW92 MW
Average TEPC demand, net generation, solar, wind and net load by local hour
Local hourDemandNet generationSolarWindNet load
00:00 1,344 MW 1,338 MW 0 MW 94 MW 1,250 MW
01:00 1,306 MW 1,324 MW 0 MW 96 MW 1,210 MW
02:00 1,287 MW 1,322 MW 0 MW 104 MW 1,183 MW
03:00 1,279 MW 1,315 MW 0 MW 101 MW 1,178 MW
04:00 1,294 MW 1,314 MW 0 MW 98 MW 1,196 MW
05:00 1,342 MW 1,352 MW 0 MW 99 MW 1,242 MW
06:00 1,399 MW 1,385 MW 3 MW 96 MW 1,300 MW
07:00 1,393 MW 1,375 MW 158 MW 95 MW 1,140 MW
08:00 1,334 MW 1,215 MW 393 MW 90 MW 851 MW
09:00 1,284 MW 1,065 MW 440 MW 92 MW 752 MW
10:00 1,259 MW 1,020 MW 451 MW 94 MW 714 MW
11:00 1,277 MW 1,083 MW 445 MW 96 MW 736 MW
12:00 1,322 MW 1,196 MW 442 MW 97 MW 783 MW
13:00 1,385 MW 1,282 MW 446 MW 96 MW 843 MW
14:00 1,470 MW 1,297 MW 435 MW 94 MW 941 MW
15:00 1,575 MW 1,320 MW 393 MW 99 MW 1,083 MW
16:00 1,666 MW 1,502 MW 228 MW 102 MW 1,336 MW
17:00 1,719 MW 1,668 MW 18 MW 106 MW 1,595 MW
18:00 1,700 MW 1,699 MW 0 MW 104 MW 1,596 MW
19:00 1,652 MW 1,665 MW 0 MW 98 MW 1,554 MW
20:00 1,608 MW 1,615 MW 0 MW 99 MW 1,509 MW
21:00 1,553 MW 1,564 MW 0 MW 102 MW 1,451 MW
22:00 1,473 MW 1,493 MW 0 MW 96 MW 1,377 MW
23:00 1,395 MW 1,398 MW 0 MW 92 MW 1,304 MW

Each value is the mean over 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026, weekdays and weekends together, for the hour starting at that local clock time. Net load is demand minus solar and wind generation. The single highest hour of demand in the whole 30 day window was 2,095 MW; it is a published reading, not an average, and is not part of the profile above.

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). (US Government work, public domain) Data as of 2026-11-11. Profiles are computed by World Power Monitor from the operator's hourly series.

Assumptions

  • Hours are local clock time in America/Phoenix. A local day is used only if it is whole inside the 30 day window and at least 22 of its hours are complete; the profile uses the 29 most recent such days. Daylight saving follows the local clock: on a clock change day the missing hour is absent and the repeated hour is averaged over both readings.
  • The average mixes weekdays and weekends and covers only 29 days, so it describes recent conditions, not a seasonal norm.
  • The evening ramp is the largest rise over three hours in the average profile, starting between 14:00 and 20:00 local time.
Cite this page
APA 7

World Power Monitor. (2026). TEPC Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour. https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/tepc/

Plain text

World Power Monitor. TEPC Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour. Data as of 2026-11-11. Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration. https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/tepc/

BibTeX
@misc{wpm_load_shapes_tepc_2026,
  title = {{TEPC Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour}},
  author = {{World Power Monitor}},
  year = {2026},
  note = {Data as of 2026-11-11. Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration.},
  url = {https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/tepc/}
}

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