TEPC Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour, 14 October to 11 November 2026
In the 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026, electricity demand in TEPC averaged 1,430 MW and typically peaked at 17:00 local time (1,719 MW) and bottomed out at 10:00 (1,259 MW). With solar and wind taken off, the remaining load fell to 714 MW at 10:00 and then rose 654 MW between 14:00 to 17:00. Hours are local clock time (America/Phoenix).
Key Facts
- Over 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026, average demand in TEPC was 1,430 MW. The hour of the day with the highest average demand was 17:00 local time (1,719 MW) and the lowest was 10:00 (1,259 MW).
- The largest three hour rise in average demand was 249 MW, between 14:00 to 17:00 local time.
- The single highest hour of demand in the 30 day window was 2,095 MW, in the hour starting 21 Oct 2026, 16:00 MST (UTC-07:00).
- Solar output averaged 451 MW at its 10:00 peak, 32% of average demand.
- Demand minus solar and wind (net load) averaged 1,172 MW, fell to 714 MW at 10:00 and rose 654 MW over the three hours from 14:00 to 17:00, 46% of average demand.
Average Day by Local Hour
29 days to 2026-11-11, America/Phoenix time| Local hour (America/Phoenix) | Demand | Net generation |
|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | 1,344 MW | 1,338 MW |
| 01:00 | 1,306 MW | 1,324 MW |
| 02:00 | 1,287 MW | 1,322 MW |
| 03:00 | 1,279 MW | 1,315 MW |
| 04:00 | 1,294 MW | 1,314 MW |
| 05:00 | 1,342 MW | 1,352 MW |
| 06:00 | 1,399 MW | 1,385 MW |
| 07:00 | 1,393 MW | 1,375 MW |
| 08:00 | 1,334 MW | 1,215 MW |
| 09:00 | 1,284 MW | 1,065 MW |
| 10:00 | 1,259 MW | 1,020 MW |
| 11:00 | 1,277 MW | 1,083 MW |
| 12:00 | 1,322 MW | 1,196 MW |
| 13:00 | 1,385 MW | 1,282 MW |
| 14:00 | 1,470 MW | 1,297 MW |
| 15:00 | 1,575 MW | 1,320 MW |
| 16:00 | 1,666 MW | 1,502 MW |
| 17:00 | 1,719 MW | 1,668 MW |
| 18:00 | 1,700 MW | 1,699 MW |
| 19:00 | 1,652 MW | 1,665 MW |
| 20:00 | 1,608 MW | 1,615 MW |
| 21:00 | 1,553 MW | 1,564 MW |
| 22:00 | 1,473 MW | 1,493 MW |
| 23:00 | 1,395 MW | 1,398 MW |
| Local hour (America/Phoenix) | Demand | Net load (demand minus solar and wind) |
|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | 1,344 MW | 1,250 MW |
| 01:00 | 1,306 MW | 1,210 MW |
| 02:00 | 1,287 MW | 1,183 MW |
| 03:00 | 1,279 MW | 1,178 MW |
| 04:00 | 1,294 MW | 1,196 MW |
| 05:00 | 1,342 MW | 1,242 MW |
| 06:00 | 1,399 MW | 1,300 MW |
| 07:00 | 1,393 MW | 1,140 MW |
| 08:00 | 1,334 MW | 851 MW |
| 09:00 | 1,284 MW | 752 MW |
| 10:00 | 1,259 MW | 714 MW |
| 11:00 | 1,277 MW | 736 MW |
| 12:00 | 1,322 MW | 783 MW |
| 13:00 | 1,385 MW | 843 MW |
| 14:00 | 1,470 MW | 941 MW |
| 15:00 | 1,575 MW | 1,083 MW |
| 16:00 | 1,666 MW | 1,336 MW |
| 17:00 | 1,719 MW | 1,595 MW |
| 18:00 | 1,700 MW | 1,596 MW |
| 19:00 | 1,652 MW | 1,554 MW |
| 20:00 | 1,608 MW | 1,509 MW |
| 21:00 | 1,553 MW | 1,451 MW |
| 22:00 | 1,473 MW | 1,377 MW |
| 23:00 | 1,395 MW | 1,304 MW |
| Local hour (America/Phoenix) | Solar | Wind |
|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | 0 MW | 94 MW |
| 01:00 | 0 MW | 96 MW |
| 02:00 | 0 MW | 104 MW |
| 03:00 | 0 MW | 101 MW |
| 04:00 | 0 MW | 98 MW |
| 05:00 | 0 MW | 99 MW |
| 06:00 | 3 MW | 96 MW |
| 07:00 | 158 MW | 95 MW |
| 08:00 | 393 MW | 90 MW |
| 09:00 | 440 MW | 92 MW |
| 10:00 | 451 MW | 94 MW |
| 11:00 | 445 MW | 96 MW |
| 12:00 | 442 MW | 97 MW |
| 13:00 | 446 MW | 96 MW |
| 14:00 | 435 MW | 94 MW |
| 15:00 | 393 MW | 99 MW |
| 16:00 | 228 MW | 102 MW |
| 17:00 | 18 MW | 106 MW |
| 18:00 | 0 MW | 104 MW |
| 19:00 | 0 MW | 98 MW |
| 20:00 | 0 MW | 99 MW |
| 21:00 | 0 MW | 102 MW |
| 22:00 | 0 MW | 96 MW |
| 23:00 | 0 MW | 92 MW |
| Local hour | Demand | Net generation | Solar | Wind | Net load |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | 1,344 MW | 1,338 MW | 0 MW | 94 MW | 1,250 MW |
| 01:00 | 1,306 MW | 1,324 MW | 0 MW | 96 MW | 1,210 MW |
| 02:00 | 1,287 MW | 1,322 MW | 0 MW | 104 MW | 1,183 MW |
| 03:00 | 1,279 MW | 1,315 MW | 0 MW | 101 MW | 1,178 MW |
| 04:00 | 1,294 MW | 1,314 MW | 0 MW | 98 MW | 1,196 MW |
| 05:00 | 1,342 MW | 1,352 MW | 0 MW | 99 MW | 1,242 MW |
| 06:00 | 1,399 MW | 1,385 MW | 3 MW | 96 MW | 1,300 MW |
| 07:00 | 1,393 MW | 1,375 MW | 158 MW | 95 MW | 1,140 MW |
| 08:00 | 1,334 MW | 1,215 MW | 393 MW | 90 MW | 851 MW |
| 09:00 | 1,284 MW | 1,065 MW | 440 MW | 92 MW | 752 MW |
| 10:00 | 1,259 MW | 1,020 MW | 451 MW | 94 MW | 714 MW |
| 11:00 | 1,277 MW | 1,083 MW | 445 MW | 96 MW | 736 MW |
| 12:00 | 1,322 MW | 1,196 MW | 442 MW | 97 MW | 783 MW |
| 13:00 | 1,385 MW | 1,282 MW | 446 MW | 96 MW | 843 MW |
| 14:00 | 1,470 MW | 1,297 MW | 435 MW | 94 MW | 941 MW |
| 15:00 | 1,575 MW | 1,320 MW | 393 MW | 99 MW | 1,083 MW |
| 16:00 | 1,666 MW | 1,502 MW | 228 MW | 102 MW | 1,336 MW |
| 17:00 | 1,719 MW | 1,668 MW | 18 MW | 106 MW | 1,595 MW |
| 18:00 | 1,700 MW | 1,699 MW | 0 MW | 104 MW | 1,596 MW |
| 19:00 | 1,652 MW | 1,665 MW | 0 MW | 98 MW | 1,554 MW |
| 20:00 | 1,608 MW | 1,615 MW | 0 MW | 99 MW | 1,509 MW |
| 21:00 | 1,553 MW | 1,564 MW | 0 MW | 102 MW | 1,451 MW |
| 22:00 | 1,473 MW | 1,493 MW | 0 MW | 96 MW | 1,377 MW |
| 23:00 | 1,395 MW | 1,398 MW | 0 MW | 92 MW | 1,304 MW |
Each value is the mean over 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026, weekdays and weekends together, for the hour starting at that local clock time. Net load is demand minus solar and wind generation. The single highest hour of demand in the whole 30 day window was 2,095 MW; it is a published reading, not an average, and is not part of the profile above.
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). (US Government work, public domain) Data as of 2026-11-11. Profiles are computed by World Power Monitor from the operator's hourly series.
Assumptions
- Hours are local clock time in America/Phoenix. A local day is used only if it is whole inside the 30 day window and at least 22 of its hours are complete; the profile uses the 29 most recent such days. Daylight saving follows the local clock: on a clock change day the missing hour is absent and the repeated hour is averaged over both readings.
- The average mixes weekdays and weekends and covers only 29 days, so it describes recent conditions, not a seasonal norm.
- The evening ramp is the largest rise over three hours in the average profile, starting between 14:00 and 20:00 local time.
Related
Cite this page
World Power Monitor. (2026). TEPC Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour. https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/tepc/
World Power Monitor. TEPC Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour. Data as of 2026-11-11. Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration. https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/tepc/
@misc{wpm_load_shapes_tepc_2026,
title = {{TEPC Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour}},
author = {{World Power Monitor}},
year = {2026},
note = {Data as of 2026-11-11. Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration.},
url = {https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/tepc/}
} Permalink: https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/tepc/
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