TVA Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour, 14 October to 11 November 2026

In the 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026, electricity demand in TVA averaged 16,612 MW and typically peaked at 17:00 local time (19,050 MW) and bottomed out at 02:00 (14,237 MW). With solar taken off, the remaining load fell to 14,233 MW at 02:00 and then rose 2,263 MW between 14:00 to 17:00. Hours are local clock time (America/Chicago).

Key Facts

  • Over 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026, average demand in TVA was 16,612 MW. The hour of the day with the highest average demand was 17:00 local time (19,050 MW) and the lowest was 02:00 (14,237 MW).
  • The largest three hour rise in average demand was 1,319 MW, between 14:00 to 17:00 local time.
  • The single highest hour of demand in the 30 day window was 44,377 MW, in the hour starting 20 Oct 2026, 17:00 CDT (UTC-05:00).
  • Solar output averaged 1,142 MW at its 12:00 peak, 7% of average demand.
  • Demand minus solar (net load) averaged 16,206 MW, fell to 14,233 MW at 02:00 and rose 2,263 MW over the three hours from 14:00 to 17:00, 14% of average demand.

Average Day by Local Hour

29 days to 2026-11-11, America/Chicago time
TVA average demand and net generation by local hour Average electricity demand in TVA by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026. It was lowest at 02:00 (14,237 MW) and highest at 17:00 (19,050 MW). Net generation is the power produced inside the grid, so it differs from demand by net imports. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 00:0003:0006:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:00
Average electricity demand in TVA by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026. It was lowest at 02:00 (14,237 MW) and highest at 17:00 (19,050 MW). Net generation is the power produced inside the grid, so it differs from demand by net imports.
Mean MW by local hour, 2026-10-14 to 2026-11-11
TVA average demand and net generation by local hour
Local hour (America/Chicago)DemandNet generation
00:0014,674 MW14,037 MW
01:0014,325 MW13,685 MW
02:0014,237 MW13,612 MW
03:0014,268 MW13,689 MW
04:0014,609 MW14,069 MW
05:0015,527 MW14,970 MW
06:0016,517 MW16,013 MW
07:0016,913 MW16,357 MW
08:0017,093 MW16,380 MW
09:0017,053 MW16,277 MW
10:0017,216 MW16,401 MW
11:0017,382 MW16,569 MW
12:0017,547 MW16,696 MW
13:0017,606 MW16,725 MW
14:0017,732 MW16,827 MW
15:0017,885 MW17,091 MW
16:0018,044 MW17,417 MW
17:0019,050 MW18,565 MW
18:0018,081 MW17,636 MW
19:0017,876 MW17,429 MW
20:0017,410 MW16,867 MW
21:0016,688 MW16,041 MW
22:0015,826 MW15,125 MW
23:0015,127 MW14,431 MW
TVA duck curve: demand and net load by local hour Average demand and net load (demand minus solar) in TVA by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026. Net load was lowest at 02:00 (14,233 MW) and then rose 2,263 MW between 14:00 to 17:00. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 00:0003:0006:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:00
Average demand and net load (demand minus solar) in TVA by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026. Net load was lowest at 02:00 (14,233 MW) and then rose 2,263 MW between 14:00 to 17:00.
Mean MW by local hour, 2026-10-14 to 2026-11-11
TVA duck curve: demand and net load by local hour
Local hour (America/Chicago)DemandNet load (demand minus solar)
00:0014,674 MW14,674 MW
01:0014,325 MW14,325 MW
02:0014,237 MW14,233 MW
03:0014,268 MW14,268 MW
04:0014,609 MW14,609 MW
05:0015,527 MW15,521 MW
06:0016,517 MW16,480 MW
07:0016,913 MW16,640 MW
08:0017,093 MW16,260 MW
09:0017,053 MW15,970 MW
10:0017,216 MW16,084 MW
11:0017,382 MW16,248 MW
12:0017,547 MW16,405 MW
13:0017,606 MW16,472 MW
14:0017,732 MW16,609 MW
15:0017,885 MW16,905 MW
16:0018,044 MW17,421 MW
17:0019,050 MW18,872 MW
18:0018,081 MW18,054 MW
19:0017,876 MW17,855 MW
20:0017,410 MW17,397 MW
21:0016,688 MW16,688 MW
22:0015,826 MW15,826 MW
23:0015,127 MW15,127 MW
TVA average solar output by local hour Average solar generation in TVA by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026. Solar peaked at 12:00 at 1,142 MW. 0 300 600 900 1,200 00:0003:0006:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:00
Average solar generation in TVA by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026. Solar peaked at 12:00 at 1,142 MW.
Mean MW by local hour, 2026-10-14 to 2026-11-11
TVA average solar output by local hour
Local hour (America/Chicago)Solar
00:000 MW
01:000 MW
02:004 MW
03:000 MW
04:000 MW
05:006 MW
06:0038 MW
07:00273 MW
08:00833 MW
09:001,083 MW
10:001,132 MW
11:001,134 MW
12:001,142 MW
13:001,135 MW
14:001,122 MW
15:00980 MW
16:00623 MW
17:00178 MW
18:0027 MW
19:0021 MW
20:0013 MW
21:000 MW
22:000 MW
23:000 MW
Average TVA demand, net generation, solar and net load by local hour
Local hourDemandNet generationSolarNet load
00:00 14,674 MW 14,037 MW 0 MW 14,674 MW
01:00 14,325 MW 13,685 MW 0 MW 14,325 MW
02:00 14,237 MW 13,612 MW 4 MW 14,233 MW
03:00 14,268 MW 13,689 MW 0 MW 14,268 MW
04:00 14,609 MW 14,069 MW 0 MW 14,609 MW
05:00 15,527 MW 14,970 MW 6 MW 15,521 MW
06:00 16,517 MW 16,013 MW 38 MW 16,480 MW
07:00 16,913 MW 16,357 MW 273 MW 16,640 MW
08:00 17,093 MW 16,380 MW 833 MW 16,260 MW
09:00 17,053 MW 16,277 MW 1,083 MW 15,970 MW
10:00 17,216 MW 16,401 MW 1,132 MW 16,084 MW
11:00 17,382 MW 16,569 MW 1,134 MW 16,248 MW
12:00 17,547 MW 16,696 MW 1,142 MW 16,405 MW
13:00 17,606 MW 16,725 MW 1,135 MW 16,472 MW
14:00 17,732 MW 16,827 MW 1,122 MW 16,609 MW
15:00 17,885 MW 17,091 MW 980 MW 16,905 MW
16:00 18,044 MW 17,417 MW 623 MW 17,421 MW
17:00 19,050 MW 18,565 MW 178 MW 18,872 MW
18:00 18,081 MW 17,636 MW 27 MW 18,054 MW
19:00 17,876 MW 17,429 MW 21 MW 17,855 MW
20:00 17,410 MW 16,867 MW 13 MW 17,397 MW
21:00 16,688 MW 16,041 MW 0 MW 16,688 MW
22:00 15,826 MW 15,125 MW 0 MW 15,826 MW
23:00 15,127 MW 14,431 MW 0 MW 15,127 MW

Each value is the mean over 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026, weekdays and weekends together, for the hour starting at that local clock time. Net load is demand minus solar generation. Wind is left out of the net load calculation for TVA: the series is missing, reads zero, or is under 3% of average demand in this window. The single highest hour of demand in the whole 30 day window was 44,377 MW; it is a published reading, not an average, and is not part of the profile above.

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). (US Government work, public domain) Data as of 2026-11-11. Profiles are computed by World Power Monitor from the operator's hourly series.

Assumptions

  • Hours are local clock time in America/Chicago. A local day is used only if it is whole inside the 30 day window and at least 22 of its hours are complete; the profile uses the 29 most recent such days. Daylight saving follows the local clock: on a clock change day the missing hour is absent and the repeated hour is averaged over both readings.
  • The average mixes weekdays and weekends and covers only 29 days, so it describes recent conditions, not a seasonal norm.
  • The evening ramp is the largest rise over three hours in the average profile, starting between 14:00 and 20:00 local time.
Cite this page
APA 7

World Power Monitor. (2026). TVA Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour. https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/tva/

Plain text

World Power Monitor. TVA Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour. Data as of 2026-11-11. Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration. https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/tva/

BibTeX
@misc{wpm_load_shapes_tva_2026,
  title = {{TVA Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour}},
  author = {{World Power Monitor}},
  year = {2026},
  note = {Data as of 2026-11-11. Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration.},
  url = {https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/tva/}
}

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