TVA Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour, 14 October to 11 November 2026
In the 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026, electricity demand in TVA averaged 16,612 MW and typically peaked at 17:00 local time (19,050 MW) and bottomed out at 02:00 (14,237 MW). With solar taken off, the remaining load fell to 14,233 MW at 02:00 and then rose 2,263 MW between 14:00 to 17:00. Hours are local clock time (America/Chicago).
Key Facts
- Over 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026, average demand in TVA was 16,612 MW. The hour of the day with the highest average demand was 17:00 local time (19,050 MW) and the lowest was 02:00 (14,237 MW).
- The largest three hour rise in average demand was 1,319 MW, between 14:00 to 17:00 local time.
- The single highest hour of demand in the 30 day window was 44,377 MW, in the hour starting 20 Oct 2026, 17:00 CDT (UTC-05:00).
- Solar output averaged 1,142 MW at its 12:00 peak, 7% of average demand.
- Demand minus solar (net load) averaged 16,206 MW, fell to 14,233 MW at 02:00 and rose 2,263 MW over the three hours from 14:00 to 17:00, 14% of average demand.
Average Day by Local Hour
29 days to 2026-11-11, America/Chicago time| Local hour (America/Chicago) | Demand | Net generation |
|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | 14,674 MW | 14,037 MW |
| 01:00 | 14,325 MW | 13,685 MW |
| 02:00 | 14,237 MW | 13,612 MW |
| 03:00 | 14,268 MW | 13,689 MW |
| 04:00 | 14,609 MW | 14,069 MW |
| 05:00 | 15,527 MW | 14,970 MW |
| 06:00 | 16,517 MW | 16,013 MW |
| 07:00 | 16,913 MW | 16,357 MW |
| 08:00 | 17,093 MW | 16,380 MW |
| 09:00 | 17,053 MW | 16,277 MW |
| 10:00 | 17,216 MW | 16,401 MW |
| 11:00 | 17,382 MW | 16,569 MW |
| 12:00 | 17,547 MW | 16,696 MW |
| 13:00 | 17,606 MW | 16,725 MW |
| 14:00 | 17,732 MW | 16,827 MW |
| 15:00 | 17,885 MW | 17,091 MW |
| 16:00 | 18,044 MW | 17,417 MW |
| 17:00 | 19,050 MW | 18,565 MW |
| 18:00 | 18,081 MW | 17,636 MW |
| 19:00 | 17,876 MW | 17,429 MW |
| 20:00 | 17,410 MW | 16,867 MW |
| 21:00 | 16,688 MW | 16,041 MW |
| 22:00 | 15,826 MW | 15,125 MW |
| 23:00 | 15,127 MW | 14,431 MW |
| Local hour (America/Chicago) | Demand | Net load (demand minus solar) |
|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | 14,674 MW | 14,674 MW |
| 01:00 | 14,325 MW | 14,325 MW |
| 02:00 | 14,237 MW | 14,233 MW |
| 03:00 | 14,268 MW | 14,268 MW |
| 04:00 | 14,609 MW | 14,609 MW |
| 05:00 | 15,527 MW | 15,521 MW |
| 06:00 | 16,517 MW | 16,480 MW |
| 07:00 | 16,913 MW | 16,640 MW |
| 08:00 | 17,093 MW | 16,260 MW |
| 09:00 | 17,053 MW | 15,970 MW |
| 10:00 | 17,216 MW | 16,084 MW |
| 11:00 | 17,382 MW | 16,248 MW |
| 12:00 | 17,547 MW | 16,405 MW |
| 13:00 | 17,606 MW | 16,472 MW |
| 14:00 | 17,732 MW | 16,609 MW |
| 15:00 | 17,885 MW | 16,905 MW |
| 16:00 | 18,044 MW | 17,421 MW |
| 17:00 | 19,050 MW | 18,872 MW |
| 18:00 | 18,081 MW | 18,054 MW |
| 19:00 | 17,876 MW | 17,855 MW |
| 20:00 | 17,410 MW | 17,397 MW |
| 21:00 | 16,688 MW | 16,688 MW |
| 22:00 | 15,826 MW | 15,826 MW |
| 23:00 | 15,127 MW | 15,127 MW |
| Local hour (America/Chicago) | Solar |
|---|---|
| 00:00 | 0 MW |
| 01:00 | 0 MW |
| 02:00 | 4 MW |
| 03:00 | 0 MW |
| 04:00 | 0 MW |
| 05:00 | 6 MW |
| 06:00 | 38 MW |
| 07:00 | 273 MW |
| 08:00 | 833 MW |
| 09:00 | 1,083 MW |
| 10:00 | 1,132 MW |
| 11:00 | 1,134 MW |
| 12:00 | 1,142 MW |
| 13:00 | 1,135 MW |
| 14:00 | 1,122 MW |
| 15:00 | 980 MW |
| 16:00 | 623 MW |
| 17:00 | 178 MW |
| 18:00 | 27 MW |
| 19:00 | 21 MW |
| 20:00 | 13 MW |
| 21:00 | 0 MW |
| 22:00 | 0 MW |
| 23:00 | 0 MW |
| Local hour | Demand | Net generation | Solar | Net load |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | 14,674 MW | 14,037 MW | 0 MW | 14,674 MW |
| 01:00 | 14,325 MW | 13,685 MW | 0 MW | 14,325 MW |
| 02:00 | 14,237 MW | 13,612 MW | 4 MW | 14,233 MW |
| 03:00 | 14,268 MW | 13,689 MW | 0 MW | 14,268 MW |
| 04:00 | 14,609 MW | 14,069 MW | 0 MW | 14,609 MW |
| 05:00 | 15,527 MW | 14,970 MW | 6 MW | 15,521 MW |
| 06:00 | 16,517 MW | 16,013 MW | 38 MW | 16,480 MW |
| 07:00 | 16,913 MW | 16,357 MW | 273 MW | 16,640 MW |
| 08:00 | 17,093 MW | 16,380 MW | 833 MW | 16,260 MW |
| 09:00 | 17,053 MW | 16,277 MW | 1,083 MW | 15,970 MW |
| 10:00 | 17,216 MW | 16,401 MW | 1,132 MW | 16,084 MW |
| 11:00 | 17,382 MW | 16,569 MW | 1,134 MW | 16,248 MW |
| 12:00 | 17,547 MW | 16,696 MW | 1,142 MW | 16,405 MW |
| 13:00 | 17,606 MW | 16,725 MW | 1,135 MW | 16,472 MW |
| 14:00 | 17,732 MW | 16,827 MW | 1,122 MW | 16,609 MW |
| 15:00 | 17,885 MW | 17,091 MW | 980 MW | 16,905 MW |
| 16:00 | 18,044 MW | 17,417 MW | 623 MW | 17,421 MW |
| 17:00 | 19,050 MW | 18,565 MW | 178 MW | 18,872 MW |
| 18:00 | 18,081 MW | 17,636 MW | 27 MW | 18,054 MW |
| 19:00 | 17,876 MW | 17,429 MW | 21 MW | 17,855 MW |
| 20:00 | 17,410 MW | 16,867 MW | 13 MW | 17,397 MW |
| 21:00 | 16,688 MW | 16,041 MW | 0 MW | 16,688 MW |
| 22:00 | 15,826 MW | 15,125 MW | 0 MW | 15,826 MW |
| 23:00 | 15,127 MW | 14,431 MW | 0 MW | 15,127 MW |
Each value is the mean over 29 complete local days from 14 October to 11 November 2026, weekdays and weekends together, for the hour starting at that local clock time. Net load is demand minus solar generation. Wind is left out of the net load calculation for TVA: the series is missing, reads zero, or is under 3% of average demand in this window. The single highest hour of demand in the whole 30 day window was 44,377 MW; it is a published reading, not an average, and is not part of the profile above.
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). (US Government work, public domain) Data as of 2026-11-11. Profiles are computed by World Power Monitor from the operator's hourly series.
Assumptions
- Hours are local clock time in America/Chicago. A local day is used only if it is whole inside the 30 day window and at least 22 of its hours are complete; the profile uses the 29 most recent such days. Daylight saving follows the local clock: on a clock change day the missing hour is absent and the repeated hour is averaged over both readings.
- The average mixes weekdays and weekends and covers only 29 days, so it describes recent conditions, not a seasonal norm.
- The evening ramp is the largest rise over three hours in the average profile, starting between 14:00 and 20:00 local time.
Related
Cite this page
World Power Monitor. (2026). TVA Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour. https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/tva/
World Power Monitor. TVA Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour. Data as of 2026-11-11. Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration. https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/tva/
@misc{wpm_load_shapes_tva_2026,
title = {{TVA Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour}},
author = {{World Power Monitor}},
year = {2026},
note = {Data as of 2026-11-11. Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration.},
url = {https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/tva/}
} Permalink: https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/tva/
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